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Second thoughts

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an embargo is only keeping him there by not allowing wealth into anyone else's hands.

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We've discussed this issue once before, and I'm not going to turn this into a political discussion moreso than it has already become. But the embargo is not the reaon "wealth" isn't flowing freely to the people of Cuba. Fidel is. This is a point most people will never fully comprehend...the extent to which everything goes into, and lines, his pockets.

End of my discussion on this.
 
Honestly, if people are willing to buy Ford cars, diamonds, and gasoline without a second thought, then why have such second thoughts about cigars? Why anyone would take a moral stand on buying a certain product because of the circle of malevolence behind it is beyond my comprehension. Better avoid eating grapes and strawberries for the rest of your life.
 
Honestly, if people are willing to buy Ford cars, diamonds, and gasoline without a second thought, then why have such second thoughts about cigars? Why anyone would take a moral stand on buying a certain product because of the circle of malevolence behind it is beyond my comprehension. Better avoid eating grapes and strawberries for the rest of your life.

Everybody has a line that they are not willing to cross. Everybody makes their own decisions based on their own code. It's not for anyone else to comprehend.

I know several people that do not buy gas, diamonds, or ANYTHING without second thoughts. They have every right in the world to follow their own feelings on the things they purchase and the places that they purchase them. It's not easy for them (ever try to find products NOT made in China?), but they are doing what they think is the right thing. It's not my place to criticize them. It's also not my place to criticize people who buy whatever they buy without thinking about the product's origin or the conditions in which it was produced.
 
Honestly, if people are willing to buy Ford cars, diamonds, and gasoline without a second thought, then why have such second thoughts about cigars? Why anyone would take a moral stand on buying a certain product because of the circle of malevolence behind it is beyond my comprehension. Better avoid eating grapes and strawberries for the rest of your life.

Everybody has a line that they are not willing to cross. Everybody makes their own decisions based on their own code. It's not for anyone else to comprehend.

I know several people that do not buy gas, diamonds, or ANYTHING without second thoughts. They have every right in the world to follow their own feelings on the things they purchase and the places that they purchase them. It's not easy for them (ever try to find products NOT made in China?), but they are doing what they think is the right thing. It's not my place to criticize them. It's also not my place to criticize people who buy whatever they buy without thinking about the product's origin or the conditions in which it was produced.

You are correct Alan, to each his own.

However, Dave does make a good point. If we knew the source (people behind) the majority of things we buy and use, we would have no clothes
and probably starve to death. Oh, don't forget about the cigars we smoke, we would all be visiting Wilkey for Moontrance :laugh:

Brian
 
You are correct Alan, to each his own.

However, Dave does make a good point. If we knew the source (people behind) the majority of things we buy and use, we would have no clothes
and probably starve to death. Oh, don't forget about the cigars we smoke, we would all be visiting Wilkey for Moontrance :laugh:

Brian
He does make a good point.

I live in a very "activist" heavy area. I know many people that take their "conscientious spending" to a whole other level. I even know a few people that won't buy Bush's Baked Beans because the guy is President Bush's cousin or something like that! :)

It's not much of a stretch for me to think that people would refuse to buy Cuban cigars based on the actions and ideals of Cuba's government. (Of course, there are a lot of people up here that would like to see the US follow Cuba's lead into communism, but that discussion is for a different time and place. :) )

There are also others who don't care where something is made or where it is sold. They just want the best value (notice I didn't say price, there is a difference) they can get. I usually fall into this group except I absolutely refuse to shop at Wal-Mart.

My point is that there are many people out there that do make an effort to spend their money in ways that they feel are conscientious and that it's really not anyone's place to talk down about it. I feel the same way when someone tells me I shouldn't wear my Nike hat because a 6 year old made it in Indonesia or somewhere. It's none of their business.

It's really not a big deal. I was just trying to get another viewpoint out there. :) :)


Oh...I would go without smoking before taking Wilkey's Moontrance. I just wouldn't feel right depriving him of the greatest pleasure he has ever known... :laugh: :laugh:
 
Hi Moki

First off thanks for your constructive thoughts the other day it was well recieved.
Now about this subject please consider the affects of the Helms -Burton Act. Supposedly any nation that does business with Cuba could have economic sanctions imposed on them by the US. Canada has fought this from day one. Of course many countries feel that this law violates International laws and practices.There may be other countries out there that just dont want The Big USA on there back. Just a thought to consider in the overall sceme of things

Bob

Regarding the Helms-Burton Act, it was declared illegal for any EU country to obey it... and that was back in 1996. So again, I reiterate what I stated. If European countries/companies really saw Cuba as a wonderful place in which to invest, they would do so.

They haven't on a large scale because of Castro's policies. I don't doubt that the end of the embargo would have some effect, but I think it's wildly over-stated in terms of what would occur.

Cuba is in the state it is in today primarily because of Castro's policies, not the embargo.
 
So you're claiming Canada has no investors, and is financially impotent? You're claiming that all of Europe has no technology or money that they might want to invest in Cuba?

I realize the USA is the world's largest economy, but c'mon. There's absolutely nothing preventing France, Germany, the UK, Canada, Japan, China, and numerous other technologically modern and relatively wealthy countries from investing in Cuba if they so chose.

They have not chosen to do so because of Castro's policies. I wouldn't expect that to change with the embargo ending. There would have to be a policy change that was not hostile to business and investment.

The importance of the USA in this regard is over-stated, IMHO. Cuba has the rest of the world to trade with, and to seek investment capital, aid, etc, from.

Good morning Moki!

With all due respect, I'm claiming that Canada has not even close to the "investment potential" of the US, and that yes, we are basically financially impotent when compared to the US and some of the other countries you mention above.

One of the things I believe that's preventing the countries you mentioned from helping develop Cuba is proximity when compared to the States. I believe someone mentioned earlier in this thread that Cuba has miles and miles of pristine beaches just waiting for mega-resorts, and I believe that United States investors are waiting to pounce.

On my trips there, I've met people from Germany, France, the UK, Canada, Japan, etc, and basically all over the world. Does any of the civilized world agree with the majority of Castro's policies?? Hell no, and I believe it's only a fool who would believe that. But all the countries above are neutral enough to allow SOME trade with that country and obviously allow their citizens to travel there. I'm not saying the US is right or wrong to restrict trade, but it's something that's real, and in effect now.

When it comes to trade, Cuba has (IMHO) only tourism, tobacco, sugar and a little coffee to offer. There is some oil there, but not even close to being enough to cover their own needs, let alone trade. It has been explained to me that one of the Cuban Government's economic policies is to balance the value of imports & exports (and I assume tourism dollars are included in imports). From my studies in economics in high school & university, ANY country in the world want exports to exceed imports in value, so it's hard to disagree with that theory. Agree or disagree with this if you will, but when their exports are so miniscule in value compared to what they need to import to live as we do in North America, it would bankrupt the country.

Remember, it was United States cash that has already put hotels, resorts & casinos in Cuba in the 50's, and I believe history is set to repeat itself.

I'm treading very lightly as I don't want this to turn into a full-blown political debate on the politics and policies of Cuba Vs. the Uniited States and end up pissing someone off hence closing this thread. I feel it's a great discussion and I for one have learned a couple of things I didn't know / realize.

Peace!!!! :cool:
 
From my studies in economics in high school & university, ANY country in the world want exports to exceed imports in value, so it's hard to disagree with that theory

Although it seems beneficial that a country wants exports to be greater than imports, this sometimes signifies the current value of that nation's currency. A country with a very weak exchange rate, is going to tend to have higher exports because foreigners can more cheaply buy the exporter's products, since the exchange rate favors the foreigner. In the USA, we have a situation where our dollar is decreasing in value when compared to the EURO and POUND. However, we still import much more than we export, which is, in my humble opinion, a dangerous practice. Then again, imports from India and China are a big reason for this, but it does not change the fact that we still import more from Europe than we export to them and have a weakening dollar.

In theory, you want to export more than you import because the nation is bringing in more money, but there are several externalities that could signify something negative when you are exporting more than you are importing. In conclusion, I agree with you (exports > imports = good), but added a little economic theory to it.



I wrote a ton below expressing my viewpoint on this subject - to buy or not to buy Cuban products but erased a large part of it. While writing it, I came to the conclusion that consumption of Cuban cigars indeed does indirectly send money towards a government which produces human rights violations. I don't think this is any worse than diamonds and oil, and countless other products that won't be mentioned. Whether you do it or not, that decision should be up to you, but hopefully more people do understand what is actually going on. Whether you do or do not consume Cuban cigars, I hope the legality of it has less to do with your decision than your own conscious (assuming you like the taste!).

For the record, I oppose the embargo, and would consume Cubans, diamonds, and foreign oil.

I won't respond to this thread in keeping within CP rules, but will gladly further explain my reasoning via PM.
 
From my studies in economics in high school & university, ANY country in the world want exports to exceed imports in value, so it's hard to disagree with that theory

Although it seems beneficial that a country wants exports to be greater than imports, this sometimes signifies the current value of that nation's currency. A country with a very weak exchange rate, is going to tend to have higher exports because foreigners can more cheaply buy the exporter's products, since the exchange rate favors the foreigner. In the USA, we have a situation where our dollar is decreasing in value when compared to the EURO and POUND. However, we still import much more than we export, which is, in my humble opinion, a dangerous practice. Then again, imports from India and China are a big reason for this, but it does not change the fact that we still import more from Europe than we export to them and have a weakening dollar.

In theory, you want to export more than you import because the nation is bringing in more money, but there are several externalities that could signify something negative when you are exporting more than you are importing. In conclusion, I agree with you (exports > imports = good), but added a little economic theory to it.



I wrote a ton below expressing my viewpoint on this subject - to buy or not to buy Cuban products but erased a large part of it. While writing it, I came to the conclusion that consumption of Cuban cigars indeed does indirectly send money towards a government which produces human rights violations. I don't think this is any worse than diamonds and oil, and countless other products that won't be mentioned. Whether you do it or not, that decision should be up to you, but hopefully more people do understand what is actually going on. Whether you do or do not consume Cuban cigars, I hope the legality of it has less to do with your decision than your own conscious (assuming you like the taste!).

For the record, I oppose the embargo, and would consume Cubans, diamonds, and foreign oil.

I won't respond to this thread in keeping within CP rules, but will gladly further explain my reasoning via PM.

That's what I like to hear. I understand the value that people place on where they spend their money and the infamy that results from it or supports it. I have no intention on treading on other people's values on who to support, what to support, or who they support, it is their choice to do with their money and time how they feel fit.

Many malicious people have produced great things, such as the idea of a rocket being used for space exploration. The rabid search for spice and conquest of a New World. "Greed is good". The constant need to overwhelm any opposition is a great step in evolution, industrial, social, and economical. The price our predecessors paid in blood and sweat is indeed high, the price we will pay will be even higher, but I honestly believe with no doubt in my mind and heart that for me to be conscious of who I support will only set back human evolution. I will openly support the bad guy, although the majority of the world already does unknowingly.
 
With all due respect, I'm claiming that Canada has not even close to the "investment potential" of the US, and that yes, we are basically financially impotent when compared to the US and some of the other countries you mention above.

You're right about Canada, in relative terms, but what about the EU? Japan? With a country as small and relatively poor as Cuba is, you do not believe that major Canadian investment could make a huge difference? I certainly do.

On my trips there, I've met people from Germany, France, the UK, Canada, Japan, etc, and basically all over the world. Does any of the civilized world agree with the majority of Castro's policies?? Hell no, and I believe it's only a fool who would believe that.

You'd be surprised; I've met a number of people in the USA and elsewhere who sympathize with Castro.

From my studies in economics in high school & university, ANY country in the world want exports to exceed imports in value, so it's hard to disagree with that theory.

It's not quite that simple, though. The USA had a fantastic case of exports exceeding imports during The Great Depression. Germany has had exports exceeding imports for quite some time, but has had anemic growth and high unemployment.

Remember, it was United States cash that has already put hotels, resorts & casinos in Cuba in the 50's, and I believe history is set to repeat itself.

It was also the USA's agricultural expertise that laid the foundation of what we now call traditional Cuban tobacco cultivation.

In any event, there are countries in the Caribbean that have everything Cuba does, and yet are still not particularly well off. The Dominican Republic would be a prime example. I just don't think it's as simple as "lift the embargo" and life is wonderful in Cuba.

As an investor, I can't imagine building a hotel, or doing much of anything in Cuba knowing that at any time, the state might just take over the operation and boot me out. I'm not as sanguine about just lifting the embargo doing much of anything for Cuba.
 
With all due respect, I'm claiming that Canada has not even close to the "investment potential" of the US, and that yes, we are basically financially impotent when compared to the US and some of the other countries you mention above.

You're right about Canada, in relative terms, but what about the EU? Japan? With a country as small and relatively poor as Cuba is, you do not believe that major Canadian investment could make a huge difference? I certainly do.

On my trips there, I've met people from Germany, France, the UK, Canada, Japan, etc, and basically all over the world. Does any of the civilized world agree with the majority of Castro's policies?? Hell no, and I believe it's only a fool who would believe that.

You'd be surprised; I've met a number of people in the USA and elsewhere who sympathize with Castro.

From my studies in economics in high school & university, ANY country in the world want exports to exceed imports in value, so it's hard to disagree with that theory.

It's not quite that simple, though. The USA had a fantastic case of exports exceeding imports during The Great Depression. Germany has had exports exceeding imports for quite some time, but has had anemic growth and high unemployment.

Remember, it was United States cash that has already put hotels, resorts & casinos in Cuba in the 50's, and I believe history is set to repeat itself.

It was also the USA's agricultural expertise that laid the foundation of what we now call traditional Cuban tobacco cultivation.

In any event, there are countries in the Caribbean that have everything Cuba does, and yet are still not particularly well off. The Dominican Republic would be a prime example. I just don't think it's as simple as "lift the embargo" and life is wonderful in Cuba.

As an investor, I can't imagine building a hotel, or doing much of anything in Cuba knowing that at any time, the state might just take over the operation and boot me out. I'm not as sanguine about just lifting the embargo doing much of anything for Cuba.

While I mostly agree with you - I think that you're looking at foreign investment from too broad a scope. Taking all industries in whole, of course Japan has equal incentive to invest in Cuba as the US, however, I think that's holding too many factors equal. The fact is, most investment in Cuba would come in the form of tourism dollars - an area, in which, well the US hold primacy, especially in the Caribbean. I'm think that if investors were comfortable investing in Cuba and if they would, the largest flow of money, by far, would come from the US in terms of tourism dollars and investments.

But, that's all immaterial, because as you mentioned, building a hotel in a country that could seize it at any time is kind of loony. My argument for ending the embargo is basically that any country with a larger middle class, more comfortably living people is inherently more stable than one without it. They have something to lose, so obviously, they wouldn't be happy if Castro started seizing the hotels that gave them their jobs. Further, even now, there are already major hotel chains in Cuba on a limited basis - Sofitel would be one. I think dropping the embargo would do a lot to spread the flow not only of money and people, but most importantly of ideas. The secret to keeping Stalinization in the Soviet Union and its satellites was restricting the flow of ideas by restricting travellers - when they started issuing passports, dissenting movements started to grow heavily influenced by Western culture and ideas (see Poland, Czech, Hungary, Yugoslavia - 1970s). I'm of the opinion that Cuba could not remains so heavily oppressed with people like us trolling around the streets and beaches, smoking cigars, talking, and spending money.

I think Castro's moral and political position would be significantly weakened in the country and the region if he were to allow US tourism, which I am at the same time sure he would. He could shout evil America all he wants from his hospital bed, but, people like us would be there showing how Americans aren't evil people hellbent on conquering Cuba. His sucessor, whoever that maybe, would have to accept the reality on the ground even more so than Castro. Castro has retained power not for any other reason that he is successfully propogating a myth - that he's the only man in the world to stand up to the evil empire of the States. Since we're obviously not taking the course of taking Castro out anymore, we should show how we aren't quite the evil empire we're cracked up to be. I think getting Americans on the beach in Cuba is one of the first steps in countering Castro's myth - we should let American sandles and beach towels try to do what we're hesitant to let American boots do.
 
snip...He could shout evil America all he wants from his hospital bed, but, people like us would be there showing how Americans aren't evil people hellbent on conquering Cuba. His sucessor, whoever that maybe, would have to accept the reality on the ground even more so than Castro. Castro has retained power not for any other reason that he is successfully propogating a myth - that he's the only man in the world to stand up to the evil empire of the States. Since we're obviously not taking the course of taking Castro out anymore, we should show how we aren't quite the evil empire we're cracked up to be. I think getting Americans on the beach in Cuba is one of the first steps in countering Castro's myth - we should let American sandles and beach towels try to do what we're hesitant to let American boots do.

Much of what you say I believe to be true! While I do not believe in, or support, Castro's foreign policies, I do think that Cuba as a whole DO NOT hate Americans (no more so than Americans hate Cubans, which I don't believe they do), there is a real and intense hate between Governments. I really believe US Citizens would be welcomed by the Cuban people. Unfortunately, Governmental policies and stubborness have prevented anything from happening.

I had mentioned much earlier in this thread the censorship that happens, both ways, and that I'm not against all of the Cuba Governmental (read Castro here, I guess) policies.

Allow me to give a couple of examples. How many people know that:
  • New Mothers - Are required to spend 2 weeks before the anticipated birth to rest and learn how to properly care for the child. They are then required to spend minimum a week in hospital with the child (dependant on the health of mom & baby), recovering and continuing the "education". Here in North America, a hospital won't look at a woman until she dialated X centimeters and screaming her bloody head off in pain, and then mom & baby are booted out next day, 2nd day at the most.
  • University Education - Is mandantory in Cuba, and free. People who reject the education are looked upon as "malcontents and deserters" Now, there's an issue with that too. I personally met a doctor, a teacher and a nurse who worked in one one capacity or another on resorts because the pay from tourism was so much better than tto work in the field they were educated in.
You see, yes, people are kept down, quite similar to what I understand happened in the USSR so many years ago. So often they are told what to believe, what to say, what to think, etc. Do I agree with that?? Hell no, but it's a fact of life. Every once in a while though, someone talks and spills their guts, all the while looking nervously around to see who's watching.

In regards to point # 2 above, the Cuban Convertible Pesos (CUC) that tourists MUST have in Cuba are valued at ~ 24 of the People's Peso. So, a decent paying job at a resort in Cuba is ~ 100 or the People's Peso a month. So, the first time we were in Cuba, we gave the room maid 20 CUC, 10 for her, and 10 for her daughter who was in hospital awaiting the birth of her first child. She went to tears and couldn't thank us enough. You do the math.

They appreciate everything they have, and anything they get because they have so little, but at the same time, seem so happy. Now, one of the BAD things about an influx of foreign currencies to Cuba is we all know it will breed greed like none have ever seen before.

MOKI:
  • I didn't say major Canadian investment wouldn't make a difference, I said Canada doesn't have the financial resources (personal or otherwise) to sopport that major investment. Don't forget, we're your poor neighbours to the North.
  • You mentioned the US balance of imports / exports during the Depression. No offence, but I hardly believe that's applicable.
  • There is no doubt in my mind that American Agricultral Technology helped make Cuban tobacco what it is today, but basicallywhen it comes to growing tobacco, Cuba is Cuba and while I love many cigars from other parts of the world, the Cuban crop has never, nor possibly will it ever, be equalled.
  • As for sympathizing with Castro on ALL policies, yes, I will agree that you have little cliques all over the world who will side with any cause, no matter how insane, just to be different. I hardly consider these people part of the "Civilized" world.
  • Not having been to the Dominican, I can't comment, except to say people have described to me a poverty level worse than what I've seen in Cuba.
  • As for building a hotel in todays society in Cuba, where rumours of Castro and whether he's dead or alive, and the threat of a revolution is always out there, and may well be iminent, yes, that would be ludicrous. But my friend, those days are slowly coming to an end, aren't they??
Once again, I must make note of how much I'm enjoying this discussion and friendly banter. Yes, we are on somewhat different sides of opinions, but there's no bullshit, no name calling, etc, just a nice friendly discussion between adults!!

Rod, I know we may be pushing the line in some comments here, but I hope we're keeping it mild & calm enough!!
 
ThankYouForNotSmoking, I think we agree more than we disagree. My main point is simply that I think the embargo has less effect on the state of Cuba today (and Cuba tomorrow, if it is lifted) than Castro's policies do. Cuba is wide open to investment from countries and companies that have plenty of money; they haven't bothered because of Castro's policies.

Much of what you say I believe to be true! While I do not believe in, or support, Castro's foreign policies, I do think that Cuba as a whole DO NOT hate Americans (no more so than Americans hate Cubans, which I don't believe they do), there is a real and intense hate between Governments. I really believe US Citizens would be welcomed by the Cuban people. Unfortunately, Governmental policies and stubborness have prevented anything from happening.

I think from the US perspective, it's more indifference or a thorn in your side than anything else. Castro needs a foil; now that missiles are not pointed at the US from Cuban soil, I think it's largely historical.

I had mentioned much earlier in this thread the censorship that happens, both ways, and that I'm not against all of the Cuba Governmental (read Castro here, I guess) policies.

Allow me to give a couple of examples. How many people know that:
  • New Mothers - Are required to spend 2 weeks before the anticipated birth to rest and learn how to properly care for the child. They are then required to spend minimum a week in hospital with the child (dependant on the health of mom & baby), recovering and continuing the "education". Here in North America, a hospital won't look at a woman until she dialated X centimeters and screaming her bloody head off in pain, and then mom & baby are booted out next day, 2nd day at the most.
  • University Education - Is mandantory in Cuba, and free. People who reject the education are looked upon as "malcontents and deserters" Now, there's an issue with that too. I personally met a doctor, a teacher and a nurse who worked in one one capacity or another on resorts because the pay from tourism was so much better than tto work in the field they were educated in.

I'm aware of this, but be careful... Cuba's educational system is nothing to get excited about, and the healthcare system is abysmal. My mother has spent time in Cuba on medical missions (she has her doctorate in nursing), and she says that the level of healthcare there -- universal as it may be -- it's circa early 1900's by US standards.

You see, yes, people are kept down, quite similar to what I understand happened in the USSR so many years ago. So often they are told what to believe, what to say, what to think, etc. Do I agree with that?? Hell no, but it's a fact of life. Every once in a while though, someone talks and spills their guts, all the while looking nervously around to see who's watching.

This is very true... I had a conversation with a gentleman who was originally from Cuba. He grew up during a time that the USSR was still intact and funding Castro. I asked him why they didn't get rid of Fidel, and he just shook his head, and said that you didn't even think about that. From day one, he was your father. All information came from him, he believed that Americans lived under bridges and killed each other for food.

In regards to point # 2 above, the Cuban Convertible Pesos (CUC) that tourists MUST have in Cuba are valued at ~ 24 of the People's Peso. So, a decent paying job at a resort in Cuba is ~ 100 or the People's Peso a month. So, the first time we were in Cuba, we gave the room maid 20 CUC, 10 for her, and 10 for her daughter who was in hospital awaiting the birth of her first child. She went to tears and couldn't thank us enough. You do the math.

Sure, the economy is one of the reasons why doctors take on second jobs as prostitutes in Cuba on occasion; they can make more money at it.

They appreciate everything they have, and anything they get because they have so little, but at the same time, seem so happy. Now, one of the BAD things about an influx of foreign currencies to Cuba is we all know it will breed greed like none have ever seen before.

I didn't say major Canadian investment wouldn't make a difference, I said Canada doesn't have the financial resources (personal or otherwise) to sopport that major investment. Don't forget, we're your poor neighbours to the North.

Canada is hardly poor. :) There are plenty of rich Canadian companies that could consider investing in Cuba if it was to there advantage to do so; it currently isn't. Same thing with numerous countries in Europe. Look at what they have done for some other islands in the Caribbean such as St. Maarten, Aruba, etc. They could be doing that now with Cuba, but they are not.

You mentioned the US balance of imports / exports during the Depression. No offence, but I hardly believe that's applicable.

It's applicable only in that you mentioned every country wants exports to exceed imports. I mentioned it just because it's not quite that simple, you can have a fantastic export-driven economy, and still not be doing as well economically as you might like (Germany is a point in case).

There is no doubt in my mind that American Agricultral Technology helped make Cuban tobacco what it is today, but basicallywhen it comes to growing tobacco, Cuba is Cuba and while I love many cigars from other parts of the world, the Cuban crop has never, nor possibly will it ever, be equalled.

That's what they said about French wines not too many years ago. Never say never. :)

As for sympathizing with Castro on ALL policies, yes, I will agree that you have little cliques all over the world who will side with any cause, no matter how insane, just to be different. I hardly consider these people part of the "Civilized" world.

I think it's unfortunately more people than you might expect. Or maybe I just know too many of those idjits. :)

Not having been to the Dominican, I can't comment, except to say people have described to me a poverty level worse than what I've seen in Cuba.

On the whole the DR is better off than Cuba -- but the downfall in the DR is corruption. Certainly there is poverty in rural areas of the DR, but it's worse in rural areas in Cuba.

As for building a hotel in todays society in Cuba, where rumours of Castro and whether he's dead or alive, and the threat of a revolution is always out there, and may well be iminent, yes, that would be ludicrous. But my friend, those days are slowly coming to an end, aren't they??

I hope so. Certainly I believe a number of companies have contingency plans regarding Cuba, but I'd be willing to wager it includes more than just that the embargo is lifted, but also that there are policy changes put in place before they will risk their money. Why not invest it in the DR instead? A much safer bet, similar location, nice beaches, etc, etc.
 
ThankYouForNotSmoking, I think we agree more than we disagree. My main point is simply that I think the embargo has less effect on the state of Cuba today (and Cuba tomorrow, if it is lifted) than Castro's policies do. Cuba is wide open to investment from countries and companies that have plenty of money; they haven't bothered because of Castro's policies.


But, our difference is here - I think lifting the embargo would have a larger effect than you think. Tourism is where Cuba is going to lift its head out of the dirt and given the proximity to the US and its current state of underdevelopment - I think it follows that US Tourism is the shining white light at the end of Cuba's poverty tunnel. The end of the embargo isn't a panacea to Cuba's problems, but it's a potential jump in the right direction and the current stagnacy in our foreign policy towards Cuba has no pragmatic explaination. If people don't want to end the embargo, they should present new, fresh ideas of ways to affect change inside Cuba, because waiting for an old, sick man to die isn't really my idea of an engaging foreign policy.

Of course, the question remains if, even without an embargo, Cuban policies would be liberal enough to allow Americans to comfortably invest in Cuba. I think that given the amount of foreign investment in Cuba, even in products of "national pride" (cigars and rum), investors are plenty comfortable investing in Cuba and Americans are by and large comfortable traveling there. America, especially through tourism, stands to be the largest investor in Cuba providing not only economic benefits - but much more important, the largest investor of new ideas that are absolutely contrarian to what's flowing in Cuba right now.

I think that ending the embargo just makes sense after 45yrs of trying. Even if Castro somehow confiscates a lot of the new wealth coming into Cuba, he can't take it all and a lot of Cubans who don't have jobs will probably get jobs, even if they are compensated at "government mandated" rates. More money isn't going to make Castro any stronger in the country than he already is. And even if Castro can get a lot of the new money, he will not, without upholding the embargo on his end, be able to restrict the flow of new ideas into Cuba. I think a case study of the fall of the Soviet Union shows just how important ideas were in bringing the Soviet Union down without a conflict - more so than the threat our nuclear armament, more so than our gross economic advantage.
 
I think from the US perspective, it's more indifference or a thorn in your side than anything else. Castro needs a foil; now that missiles are not pointed at the US from Cuban soil, I think it's largely historical.
No doubt in my mind that you're 100% correct!!

I'm aware of this, but be careful... Cuba's educational system is nothing to get excited about, and the healthcare system is abysmal. My mother has spent time in Cuba on medical missions (she has her doctorate in nursing), and she says that the level of healthcare there -- universal as it may be -- it's circa early 1900's by US standards.

Once again, I agree, but you also have to admit that they're making a step forward instead heading backwards as we're doing in North America. IMHO, our school system is atrocious, I can't believe how many kids graduate high school and are basically illiterate. Also, many co-workers (in the US) for the company I work for say how lucky we are here in Canada that we have free Health Care. Well, my response to that is "If you get free shit, you still just have shit". My dad is a General Practicioner (now retired) and he's as disgusted with our medical system as I am with the school system. Again, they're making a step forward where here in Canada, we're losing (unless of course, you're an Immigrant who needs new hips and you get the surgeries for free where-as Canadian born retirees here have to pay through the nose for eye surgeries to remove cataracts).

Sure, the economy is one of the reasons why doctors take on second jobs as prostitutes in Cuba on occasion; they can make more money at it.

Wasn't aware of that, but I don't doubt it. Come to think of it, I did see one lovely looking female doctor there and I wondered!!!!!! :love:

Canada is hardly poor. :) There are plenty of rich Canadian companies that could consider investing in Cuba if it was to there advantage to do so; it currently isn't. Same thing with numerous countries in Europe. Look at what they have done for some other islands in the Caribbean such as St. Maarten, Aruba, etc. They could be doing that now with Cuba, but they are not.
I didn't say Canada was poor. Yes, there are plenty of rich Canadian companies, but I highly doubt they'd invest in Cuba at any given time.

Moki, if I put my thoughts on our Government and where they prefer to throw our hard earned tax dollars into print here, this thread would certainly be locked down and Rod would surely have a case to possibly ban me.
:whistling:

It's applicable only in that you mentioned every country wants exports to exceed imports. I mentioned it just because it's not quite that simple, you can have a fantastic export-driven economy, and still not be doing as well economically as you might like (Germany is a point in case).
Yes, every country WANTS to export more than import, it's a basic law of economics, it just always isn't possible, as in the case of the US during the Depression. Point taken & accepted.

That's what they said about French wines not too many years ago. Never say never. :)
You're right with French wines, but let's face it, tobacco companies have had almost 50 years to duplicate Cuban tobacco. As I said above, there's some fine smokes come from other parts of the world, but they still ain't the same.

I think it's unfortunately more people than you might expect. Or maybe I just know too many of those idjits. :)
I don't care who you are, that's some funny shit there!
On the whole the DR is better off than Cuba -- but the downfall in the DR is corruption. Certainly there is poverty in rural areas of the DR, but it's worse in rural areas in Cuba.
I'll take your word on the Dominican, as I said, I've never been.
I hope so. Certainly I believe a number of companies have contingency plans regarding Cuba, but I'd be willing to wager it includes more than just that the embargo is lifted, but also that there are policy changes put in place before they will risk their money. Why not invest it in the DR instead? A much safer bet, similar location, nice beaches, etc, etc.
I really believe that all (or the vast majority) of negative policies will be lifted & removed once there's a Government there who's somewhat US friendly.

For me, until the Embargo is lifted, and policies change, I'll continue to travel to Cuba, and enjoy it the way it is. After that, who knows, but it won't be any different from Jamaica, the Dominican, Mexico, etc.
 
Yes, every country WANTS to export more than import, it's a basic law of economics, it just always isn't possible, as in the case of the US during the Depression. Point taken & accepted.

Actually, Newfie, it's not. The idea that it's necessary to export more than import is an idea grandfathered into modern economic theory by protectionists and mercentalists. In so much as there are "laws" in social science in the sense that there are in physics, a better rule would be to say that countries want increased cash flow into their country.

The problem in the US isn't in the trade deficit, it's because the interest rate has been so low for so long - everyone wants to borrow US money because it's cheap, but no one wants to buy US money because of the low rate of return. So money is leaving the US and not coming back in anytime soon.
 
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