cookie_1978 ------- 5er ----- CONFIRMED
Double D ----------- 5er ----- CONFIRMED
Dsav101 ------------ 5er ----- CONFIRMED
Garvey ------------- 5er ----- CONFIRMED
jlada ---------------- 5er ----- CONFIRMED
KayakinBoy -------- 3er ----- CONFIRMED
Rebel Herfer ------- 5er ----- CONFIRMED
theHatguy ---------- 5er ----- CONFIRMED
Wurm --------------- 5er ----- CONFIRMED
One 5 pack left. Anyone?
In a PM from smoke76:
"The postage will be $9.00. It comes with 48 Tony Limited cigars, A hat, and Season 6 DVD of the Sopranos, oh and the Humidor"
So, the posted price of 699 + 9 = $708.
708 / 48 = $14.75
$14.75 x 5 = $73.75
$73.75 + $4.60 = $78.35
So, I need $78.35 by MO/check (if you've been around awhile/dealt with me) for your fivers. I need $80.70 if you decide to pay me online, which I will accept.
Kayakinboy, I will need $48.85 for your 3 pack [(14.75 x 3) + 4.60]. Or, $50.32 online, which I will accept.
Raffle is set in stone at:
1st Prize: Humidor! (some help with shipping to you would be nice... I'll ship it w/ your cigars)
2nd Prize: Season 6 DVD set
3rd Prize: Hat
Odds of winning humidor: 10.4% for 5ers, 6.25% for Kayakin.
Odds of winning DVD set (assuming a 5er wins the humidor): 11.6% for 5ers, 6.98% for Kayakin.
Odds of winning hat (assuming a 5er wins both 1st/2nd): 13.2% for 5ers, 9.09% for Kayakin.
If Kayakin wins either the first or second raffle, the odds for a 5er winning the next raffle prizes decreases by .5%
The raffle (if everyone is ok with this method) will work alphabetizing our aliases on this site, which I have already done up top. It would be so much easier to assign everyone one raffle ticket instead of 5, but since Kayakinboy has a three pack, we can't give him 3/5ths of a ticket. Yes, he does have less of an investment than the rest of us, but he also has less of a chance of winning the prizes. Mathematically, it makes sense; he gets the same odds of a favorable return on investment that we do, with equal probability and chance for gain.
Anyway, the first person in alphabetical order will get assigned 1-5. The next 6-10, etc. So, everyone gets assigned 5 (or 3, in Kayakin's case) numbers. Then, hopefully I can employ Rod's (or someones) help with:
RANDOM NUMBER GENERATOR
The "random number generator" (there's really no such thing, but, being realistic, it makes things a lot simpler than drawing stuff out of a hat) picks your number, you win. Rod, or whoever, will generate one number at a time with a range of 1-48. This number wins first prize. Everyone is then reassigned numbers, again, in alphabetical order, and a random number is generated between 1-43 (or 1-45 if Kayakin wins 1st). This number wins second. The same method is then done for third.
As soon as we get all 48 cigars spoken for and EVERYONE lets me know their money is in the mail (I don't have to receive it) or pays me online, I'll have this ordered and shipped to me.
Editted: Changed prize selection methodology to avoid same person being picked twice & selected a better "true" random number generator.